MLR_FORE - Forecasting for Linear Regression Model

Calculates the forecast mean, error, and confidence interval.

Syntax

MLR_FORE (X, Mask, Y, Intercept, Target, Return, Alpha)

X
is the independent (explanatory) variables data matrix, such that each column represents one variable.
Mask
is the boolean array to choose the explanatory variables in the model. If missing, all variables in X are included.
Y
is the response or the dependent variable data array (a one-dimensional array of cells (e.g., rows or columns)).
Intercept
is the constant or the intercept value to fix (e.g., zero). If missing, an intercept will not be fixed and is computed normally.
Target
is the value of the explanatory variables (a one-dimensional array of cells (e.g., rows or columns)).
Return
is a switch to select the return output (1 = forecast (default), 2 = error, 3 = upper limit, 4 = lower limit).
Value Return
1 Mean Value (default).
2 Standard Error.
3 Upper Limit.
4 Lower Limit.
Alpha
is the statistical significance of the test (i.e., alpha). If missing or omitted, an alpha value of 5% is assumed.

Remarks

  1. The underlying model is described here.
  2. The sample data may include missing values.
  3. Each column in the input matrix corresponds to a separate variable.
  4. Each row in the input matrix corresponds to an observation.
  5. Observations (i.e., rows) with missing values in X or Y are removed.
  6. The number of rows of the response variable (Y) must be equal to the number of rows of the explanatory variable (X).
  7. The MLR_FORE function is available starting with version 1.60 APACHE.

Files Examples

Related Links

References

  • Hamilton, J.D.; Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press (1994), ISBN 0-691-04289-6.
  • Kenney, J. F. and Keeping, E. S. (1962) "Linear Regression and Correlation." Ch. 15 in Mathematics of Statistics, Pt. 1, 3rd ed. Princeton, NJ: Van Nostrand, pp. 252-285.

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