X12ARIMA - Defining an X12-ARIMA Model

Returns a unique string to designate the specified X12-ARIMA model.

Syntax

X12ARIMA ([x], date, period, transform, cal_reg, outliers, arima, forecast, sa_filter, x11options, x11mode)

[X]
Required. Is the univariate time series data (a one-dimensional array of cells (e.g., rows or columns)).
Date
Required. Is a serial number that represents the data start date.
Period
Required. Is the number of observations per one period (e.g., 12 = Annual, 4 = Quarter).
Transform
Optional. Is an option for transforming the data prior to analysis (1 = Log, 2 = Auto (default), 3 = None). If missing, auto is assumed.
Value Transform
1 Log.
2 Auto (default).
3 None.
Cal_Reg
Optional. Is a set of options for calendar adjustments using regression ({TD = 0/1, Easter = 0/1, Constant = 0/1}). See the reference manual for more details and examples.
Value Calendar Adjustment Examples
{0,0,0} TD = 0, Easter = 0, Constant = 0 (default).
{1,0,0} TD = 1, Easter = 0, Constant = 0.
{1,1,1} TD = 1, Easter = 1, Constant = 1.
Outliers
Optional. Is a set of outlier types to test and adjust for {AO = 0/1, LS(Run) = 0/1..N, TC=0/1, SO = 0/1, Hard Code = 0/1}. If missing, no check for outliers is carried out.
Value Outliers Examples
{0,0,0,0} AO = 0, LS = 0, TC = 0 (default).
{1,1,1,1} AO = 1, LS = 1, TC = 1.
{1,4,0,0} AO = 1, LS = 4, TC = 0.
ARIMA
Optional. Is the set of orders for the ARIMA Model ({p, d, q, P, D, Q}). If any of the orders is negative or if all values are zeros, auto-select is turned on.
Order ARIMA Order Examples
{0,1,1,0,1,1} p = 0, d = 0, q = 0, P = 0, D = 0, Q = 0 (default seasonal ARIMA).
{1,1,2,0,1,0} p = 0, d = 0, q = 0, P = 0, D = 0, Q = 0 (Auto-select).
{-1,1,-1,0,1,-1} p = 0, d = 1, q = 1, P = 0, D = 1, Q = 1.
Forecast
Optional. Is the number of years to conduct the forecast for. If missing, forecast = 1 year.
SA_Filter
Optional. Is a flag for the seasonal adjustment filter to use (1 = X11, 2 = TD and Holidays, 3 = None (default)).
Value Seasonal Adjustment Filter
1 X11.
2 Trading days and holidays adjustment.
3 None (default).
X11Options
Optional. Is an option setting for the X11 filter (1 = X11 (default), 2 = 3x1, 3 = 3x3, 4 = 3x5, 5 = 3x9, 6 = 3x15, 7 = Stable).
Value X11Options
1 X11 (default).
2 3x1.
3 3x3.
4 3x5.
5 3x9.
6 3x15.
7 X11 Stable.
X11Mode
Optional. Is the type of decomposition (i.e., additive, or multiplicative) (1 = Multi (default), 2 = Additive, 3 = Pseudo-Add, 4 = Log-Add).
Value X11Mode
1 Multiplicative (default).
2 Additive.
3 Pseudo-additive.
4 Log-additive.

 Warning

X12ARIMA(.) function is deprecated as of version 1.67; use the X13AS(.) function instead.

Remarks

  1. The underlying model is described here.

Files Examples

Related Links

References

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