Computes the correlation factor using the exponential-weighted correlation function (i.e., using the exponential-weighted covariance (EWCOV) and volatility (EWMA/EWV) method).
Syntax
EWXCF(X, Y, Order, Lambda, T)
- X
- is the first univariate time series data (a one-dimensional array of cells (e.g., rows or columns)).
- Y
- is the second univariate time series data (a one-dimensional array of cells (e.g., rows or columns)).
- Order
- is the time order in the data series (i.e., whether the first data point corresponds to the earliest or latest date (earliest date = 1 (default), latest date = 0)).
Order Description 1 Ascending (the first data point corresponds to the earliest date) (default). 0 Descending (the first data point corresponds to the latest date). - Lambda
- is the smoothing parameter used for the exponential-weighting scheme. If missing, the default value of 0.94 is assumed.
- T
- is the forecast time/horizon (expressed in terms of steps beyond the end of the time series X). If missing, the default value of 1 is assumed.
Remarks
- The time series is homogeneous or equally spaced.
- The two time series must have identical sizes and time orders.
- The correlation is defined as: $$\rho^{(xy)}_t=\frac{\sigma_t^{(xy)}}{{_x\sigma_t}\times{_y\sigma_t}}$$ $$\sigma_t^{(xy)} = \lambda\sigma_{t-1}^{(xy)}+(1-\lambda)x_{t-1}y_{t-1}$$ $$_x\sigma_t^2=\lambda\times{_x\sigma_{t-1}^2}+(1-\lambda)x_{t-1}^2$$ $$_y\sigma_t^2=\lambda\times{_y\sigma_{t-1}^2}+(1-\lambda)y_{t-1}^2$$ Where:
- $\rho^{(xy)}_t$ is the sample correlation between X and Y at time $t$.
- $\sigma_t^{(xy)}$ is the sample exponential-weighted covariance between X and Y at time $t$.
- $_x\sigma_t$ is the sample exponential-weighted volatility for the time series X at time $t$.
- $_y\sigma_t$ is the sample exponential-weighted volatility for the time series Y at time $t$.
- $\lambda$ is the smoothing factor used in the exponential-weighted volatility and covariance calculations.
- If the input data sets do not have a zero mean, the EWXCF Excel function removes the mean from each sample data on your behalf.
- The EWXCF uses the EWMA volatility and EWCOV representations which do not assume a long-run average volatility (or covariance), and thus, for any forecast horizon beyond one-step, the EWXCF returns a constant value.
Files Examples
Related Links
References
- Hull, John C.; Options, Futures and Other Derivatives Financial Times/ Prentice Hall (2003), pp 385-387, ISBN 1-405-886145.
- Hamilton, J .D.; Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press (1994), ISBN 0-691-04289-6.
- Tsay, Ruey S.; Analysis of Financial Time Series John Wiley & SONS. (2005), ISBN 0-471-690740.
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